Remember, you're talking to Leon, for whom everything is either *BRILLIANT!!!* or *APOCALYPSE!!!*. Patience doesn't feature. (View Post)

Your regular reminder that RCP cherry p[icks which polls to include - and currently that means excluding a Harris +5 (from a Republican pollster!) that's been out for a week. You're far better off wi… (View Post)

US polling update. There have been a number of polls announced over and following the weekend. Harris is up with YouGov, TIPP and Morning Consult. With the latter she has gone from +1 (Jul 30-Aug 1) … (View Post)

538 polling average has Harris ahead 45 to 43.6: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/ Nate Silver has Harris ahead 45.0 to 43.9: https://www.natesilver.net/p/na… (View Post)

--- I have read We Solve Murders (2024, not yet published) by Richard Osman. An advance reading copy of the first book in a new series, due out this autumn. I have only previously read one of Osman's… (View Post)