The Good Week/Bad Week Index (GWBWI) is designed to remove partiality from analysing council by-election results. By using figures for the council balance, each party's strength, and history in … (View Post)

Thank you, that's indeed why I set about creating this: it's far too common to either manage expectations before the election, or put huge spin on the results afterwards, in precisely the w… (View Post)

Yes (View Post)

For the past few months, I've been working on an algorithmic approach to working out how well or badly parties have done in council by-elections. It uses the current council make-up, each party&… (View Post)

I had a lot of time to think about the Confidence vote yesterday, on the train up to London (Stonehenge exhibition, I can highly recommend it), and was pondering the numbers. The actual result was pr… (View Post)