I have the feeling that Reform’s numbers have a lot of air in them, as the analytics people say. So tricky to weigh up, as it’s like an outsider in a horse race going twenty lengths clear; it should … (View Post)

NEW: The #FIFAWorldCup match in Seattle on June 26 had already been designated as a “Pride Match” before the fixtures were decided. Now we know the teams who will play in it… Egypt and Iran. Both nat… (View Post)

Maybe it's last nights shandies, but isn't that the wrong way round? FON give more weight to those less likely to vote, so would be more likely to be correct on a high turnout Or have I mis… (View Post)

They’re out to get Farage alright NEW: Nigel Farage has been reported to the Met Police by a former member of his campaign team over claims of falsified election expenses in Clacton last year. Richar… (View Post)

Yes, Sir Keir had a result in being up against a similarly uncharismatic opponent. I have followed IPSOS "Personality Ratings" for years, and they give a fairly good indication of who will … (View Post)