Ha I wouldn't try and have you over. I have given you better odds than the market says they should be - I think it is a 5/2 shot off Betfair related markets, but, factoring I think the Con Maj p… (View Post)

Smarkets won’t let me bet with them, but I think their Even money quote on Starmer leaving before 2024 is quite the ricket. Have Labour ever got rid of a leader before he got a pop at a GE? Starmer w… (View Post)

Rare that this is the case, but I think if you backed the two outsiders here, even paying the 5% over round, you’re on a good thing. Basically 4/6 Sir Keir is still leader in 2024 (View Post)

Yes that’s right. The bet only refers to the next GE, if he stays on and wins in 2028 after losing in 2024 that’s a loser for you, else I’d have to wait for him to pass away before I got paid! (View Post)

The last three leaders to win a majority (Blair, Cameron & Boris) all had the X factor. The last seven who failed or were booted out before they had the chance to (Hague, Howard, IDS, Brown, Mili… (View Post)