The state of play Leader Ratings wise, between Boris and Sir Keir Dark Blue is Boris Gross Positives, Light Blue his Net Satisfaction, and the same in Red for Sir Keir. As I have been saying, in Elec… (View Post)

Can’t see it myself. UKIP 2012 had an identifiable goal, a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, to aim for, and a charismatic, once in a lifetime leader. They were also up against three parties who… (View Post)

Throwing your lot in on polls taken after big political dramas is about as muggy as it gets. (View Post)

The point I’d take from it is that, when every headline in the papers is slaughtering the Tories all week, they’re 1-3 points ahead and, when things are going well for them, they’re 8-10 points ahead… (View Post)

The days after some kind of scandal are the ones to avoid looking at polls, if you are interested in the long term. If you are betting on a poll lead before a certain date, then obviously they are of… (View Post)