It would be gold standard comeuppance for Russia to suffer a major loss, like the sinking of the Moskva say, early on May 9th. Just in time for the news to filter through to the Victory Day celebrato… (View Post)

Ukraine faces an existential threat. In that context your assertion that "there is absolutely a point at which supporting their continued brave resistance becomes untenable" is meaningless. (View Post)

Malmesbury is right imo, Hungary is the more serious veto threat to Finland and Sweden joining NATO. The Finns and Swedes know that. Viktor Orbán is much more of a problem than the Croatian president… (View Post)

Turnout increases with uncertainty about the result. So the closer the polling the higher the turnout, cet par. (View Post)

Last night's Navalny program (BBC2) was gripping. Not so much the revelations, though the extent of cooperation with Bellincat surprised me, but the sheer chutzpah and self-confidence of Navally… (View Post)