Your analysis looks reasonable to me. The public seem to want to be under lockdown for longer so maybe a few more weeks need to go by. I just plotted log(new cases) against time for the following cou… (View Post)

If scientific illiteracy means having no qualifications in science, I am not sure how believing that the lockdown can potentially be eased after the peak of the epidemic has passed is proof that a pe… (View Post)

If the economy tanks sufficiently pensions will have to be cut, public sector workers will be laid off, and landlords will have to reduce rents or be stuck with tenants who are unemployed and can't p… (View Post)

The government is working on its review of the coronavirus crisis response. I have drawn my own conclusions. The chances of finding vaccines are maybe not extremely high but are greater than zero. So… (View Post)

The lockdown isn't so bad once you get used to it. It is like a long summer holiday. The government is paying for it with borrowed money, much of it from China. Could Sunak please announce how this m… (View Post)