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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Falling down
How on earth can you post on a betting site many times each day for years, and have not yet understood that a 30% probability comes in quite often? That is really a very ignorant post for this forum. (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Falling down
Compare the deaths per million in sweden with its comparable neighbours' death rates. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you want to bet that the WH2020 polls are wrong you need lo
First of all this proposal still says low risk people should practice "Routine social distancing; personal sanitation", which is the policy the UK has had in July and August, but you have o… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If you want to bet that the WH2020 polls are wrong you need lo
Even if the specificity is good, you are still going to get a high number of false positives in screening programmes. The vast majority of people screened are negative, so the majority of positives w… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » That was then. This is now.
At least one prominent poster has repeatedly criticised electoral systems which are more likely to lead to coalition governments than FPTP. The justification being that parties entering into a coalit… (View Post)3