There was some PJ O'Rourke quote about how the world is full of ironies for the stupid. Low consumer price inflation and low interest rates tend to go together, and low interest rates and high a… (View Post)

I can confirm, I landed at Heathrow and had to get the train across London and it was totally baffling. I couldn't tell what ticket I needed, there was nobody to help, and you couldn't hear… (View Post)

Incumbency seems to be helpful, he's beaten Trump before, he seems to be able to reach ex-Trump-voting boomers in a way that no other Dem can, Trump is nearly as old as Biden, it's not at a… (View Post)

It's August, there have been no debates, the voters aren't paying attention yet. One candidate has extremely high name recognition, and also they feel like he needs support. What the pollin… (View Post)

By lane, numbers-out-of-arse, not an offer to bet: Trump: 55% Trump-picked toady (Ivanka etc): 5% Trumpist non-Trump (Ramaswamy, DeSantis): 20% Anti-Trump (Christie, Pence): 10% Trump-neutral Other (… (View Post)