One thing you learn from years reading pb is that the more certain the prediction, the less notice you should take of it. In this race the uncertainty is coming straight from the polls. The polls may… (View Post)

I don't think these campaign briefings have a lot of information content. They're not going to say "we are so fucked lmao" (View Post)

There are no ugly pylons, every pylon is beautiful. If you cannot see it the ugliness is inside yourself. (View Post)

It *probably* won't be the end of the world if the other guy wins. But the world has enough nuclear weapons to blow ourselves up multiple times over and the fact that this hasn't happened y… (View Post)

More on the Selzer poll: https://bsky.app/profile/proptermalone.bsky.social/post/3la22fb4tpc2y So if you're polling by either looking at whether individuals voted last time or weighting to your … (View Post)