I mean they must have known that replacing Biden would be an option, that's why they did it so early. There has to be some kind of award for the White House staffers who persuaded Biden to agree… (View Post)

Generally I'm not a fan of "assume the system will stop Trump from doing this crazy thing he says because it's too nuts" reasoning. But on putting RFK Jr in charge of public healt… (View Post)

It could totally be a French guy, the whole world consumes American elections vicariously as I shouldn't have to tell anyone here. Not at all saying I know who it is but I know a French guy it t… (View Post)

I wonder how much he's bet on this total sure thing. (View Post)

One thing you learn from years reading pb is that the more certain the prediction, the less notice you should take of it. In this race the uncertainty is coming straight from the polls. The polls may… (View Post)