I think for Biden to win given his current personal popularity likely implies the Dems get The House back? The GOP probably still get the Senate but not by huge margin and the Senate GOP are a lot le… (View Post)

I don't think the VP thing is a problem, she doesn't need one day-to-day and the GOP will make themselves look bad refusing to vote on them. (View Post)

The polls could well be totally out on Reform in either direction. They're a polling nightmare: Low-trust voters who don't want to talk to pollsters, potential embarrassment on the one side, potentia… (View Post)

One benefit of going with Kamala Harris instead of the better-polling alternatives is that they could keep that card to play it when they needed it: Biden can stay on as president for now, but at any… (View Post)

Stuff like this has no predictive value. He has to say that until he reaches a final decision, he can't say, "I might quit because I'm too old, otoh maybe I'm fine and you should vote for me, le… (View Post)