People use the word "shy" in polling from when people didn't want to admit voting for John Major but I don't think it's what's going on here. Part of it seems to be just… (View Post)

I'm making one on the grounds that making predictions that make you look stupid is how you learn, and it doesn't really matter what people here think of me. (View Post)

On topic I have absolutely no confidence about this but I'm going to say a solid Kamala Harris win. Let's call it all the Biden states plus NC, minus a coin flip for AZ and GA. I think the … (View Post)

On topic this site seems to have two strands of opinion on this race. There's the mainstream opinion that it's 50/50 shot, and then there's a minority of contrarians who think we'… (View Post)

You have no idea how long this guy has been hanging around the golf course. Trump playing golf isn't some unbelievably unlikely freak event and his campaign schedule is publicly known in advance. (View Post)