[According to various podcasts, I personally know nothing] Ukraine can survive a deficit of artillery, especially with better precision, but only by so much (say 2:1 or 3:1), and the bigger the defic… (View Post)

Would it really be a canny move? Running the wife of a popular former president who starts out with good polling numbers is something they've tried before. Here's what happened the last tim… (View Post)

It's not a lack of seriousness on the Democrat side because it's not Democrats talking about this! It's a gossip columnist from a right-wing tabloid, a bunch of right-wing crypto enthu… (View Post)

What happened was that there were a load of moderate candidates none of whom got an overwhelming lead in Iowa and NH, and then they got to the first state with black people and they overwhelmingly we… (View Post)

It's not suddenly, she's been at these silly numbers for ages on Polymarket which is the only place with any volume. If Betfair or wherever has only just caught up then it was probably just… (View Post)