edmundintokyo
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The case for betting on a Trump victory in November
That headline isn't really a great summary of what the article says. What it's describing as "scientific caution" is skepticism about the idea that it was possible in practice to … (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump 2024: the game’s changed and a third term is possible
Talking of attack ads, oof https://twitter.com/RVAT2020/status/1268999115595276289 (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump 2024: the game’s changed and a third term is possible
I worried about that when he was first elected but now wouldn't put it that strongly. Trump's main interest is in petty grievances and stealing, the republic would probably survive it. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ra
On topic, I wouldn't expect Boris to get back to his April peak, which was a freak number resulting from the 9/11 effect where when a leader massively fails and causes lots of voters to die, the… (View Post)4 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why Johnson can take little comfort from the Tory voting inten
Life *was* going on, parliament were meeting perfectly adequately over the internet. Getting the prevalence "fairly low" isn't enough if you go back to exact same habits that caused it… (View Post)2
