Deep thought: Let's imagine for the sake of argument that the EU side get to the middle of October and say, "WE BLINK! Our bluff has been well and truly called! We bow to your superior Brit… (View Post)

A circus tent, somewhere in the late 1960s: Corbyn: Tell me, wise seer, what will I be? Fortune Teller: I see great things for you, you will become leader of the Labour Party. Corbyn: I am humbled. A… (View Post)

TBF although the path to get here was long and ludicrous I think it's now coherent. 1) A deal is needed, crashing out without one would be really, really bad 2) The deal should be put to a refer… (View Post)

Those possible paths and lots of others, including but not limited to: * UK Parliament appoints somebody to speak for them in matters of Article 50 extensions, Boris is still there but that person ma… (View Post)

These numbers substantially understate the market's opinion of the probability of No Deal, because if it's No Deal then the winner gets paid in No Deal pounds, which are worth maybe 20% les… (View Post)