I vaguely recall when Nate Silver used to be a data guy instead of a pundit and he reckoned there was a home state effect, but only for *small* states. (View Post)

Too early to say. Harris needs to reach out to moderate Republicans. Kamala-Jeb 2024 (View Post)

I think Harris is value for election winner right now. It'll be at least a week or so before we can get useful information from the polling. Normally the side that's having the most fun is winning, a… (View Post)

The UK housing market has vast numbers of independent private buyers buying from vast numbers of independent sellers. Even if the new houses were all controlled by a cartel, which sounds like bollock… (View Post)

So hard to tell the difference between "somebody knows something" and "somebody is completely out of their fucking tree" (View Post)