edmundintokyo

Here's the interview with Ann Selzer I mentioned that I posted on the previous thread. She talks about her method early on then the rest is talking about the prospects for GOP primaries that have alr… (View Post)

OK so there are 4 possibilities: 1) Selzer is wrong, everyone else is right, Iowa isn't in play so don't commit resources 2) Selzer is wrong, everyone else is wrong, go with your priors which say Iow… (View Post)

My favourite twist for this series would be that Harris puts in a reasonable-sized win and Trump... graciously concedes. I mean, he's being sentenced for election crimes about 2 weeks after the elect… (View Post)

OT thread on what it would take to make Polymarket missettle: https://old.reddit.com/r/ethereum/comments/1gi7z5s/market_risk_of_a_51_attack_on_polymarket/ (View Post)

tee hee https://bsky.app/profile/nameshiv.bsky.social/post/3l7ysmficom2q (View Post)