edmundintokyo
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Latest UK and US polling not good for Johnson’s government and
I don't think you get a Dem without allegations, if there aren't any they'll make some up, and rightly or wrongly they'll be believed by exactly the same people who believe the Bi… (View Post)2 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Klobuchar sees big move to her in the WH2020 Dem VP betting
Based on the theory of efficient markets, I would say that for reasons that are not yet clear to us, the answer must somehow be Hillary Clinton. (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Klobuchar sees big move to her in the WH2020 Dem VP betting
Just to contradict my previous post, an interesting argument that it might be Kamala on r/neoliberal: https://www.reddit.com/r/neoliberal/comments/gni8t5/using_wikipedia_edits_to_predict_the_vp_pick/… (View Post)3 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Joe Biden’s VP pick – the case for Amy Klobuchar
I know the data's not very clear on how much a VP can help beyond their own state (and even that only if it's a small one) but Minnesota also borders Wisconsin, which I guess is also cultur… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tonight in the PB Nighthawks cafe as things edge back ever so
One of the big problems with this, apart from the killing hundreds of thousands of people aspect, is that the cheapest method for preventing the spread, cluster tracing, is only really practical if t… (View Post)1
