edmundintokyo
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Re: The Pressure of the Populist Right – politicalbetting.com
CA is polling Biden 62, Trump 31.3 (538). 2016 was Hillary 61.7, Trump 31.6 (Wikipedia). So Biden's swing in CA is zero. Biden's big swings actually seem to be coming in places where there&… (View Post)1 -
Re: The Pressure of the Populist Right – politicalbetting.com
Populist has an actual meaning, and it's not always derogatory. Broadly it means things that sound good to non-experts and are opposed by experts. Often this is a bad: The reason experts support… (View Post)3 -
Re: The battle for the White House – Trump’s fight to retain the female vote – politicalbetting.com
If they find themselves with a minority on the court and all three branches they'll do it anyway though, no? The problem is that the system is already working a way it wasn't supposed to (p… (View Post)3 -
Re: The other big US election three weeks today – the fight to control the Senate – politicalbetting.com
So my Grand Theory of 2020 is all the unusual stuff the GOP are doing that looks dumb like effectively telling their people not to vote by post in the middle of a pandemic and riling up their opponen… (View Post)1 -
Re: The other big US election three weeks today – the fight to control the Senate – politicalbetting.com
Good way to motivate your opponent's vote instead of your own... (View Post)2
