This is where the decisive outcomes are actually more likely than they look, because if one candidate is a little bit behind they'll start to take bigger risks that also make it more likely that they… (View Post)

The great benefit to tariffs for Trump is that he can control them unilaterally (without Congress) and also unilaterally grant exemptions. Every US manufacturer will need an exemption for the parts t… (View Post)

She was quiet as VP but isn't that just effective politics? There was basically no upside to attracting attention and she didn't know whether her route to the White House would involve a contested pr… (View Post)

Nobody is this wholesome, he must have some kind of dark secret. (View Post)

Authoritarians in the Putin / Orban model have elections. They use violence and threats of violence to discourage opposition, abuse government power to intimidate or shut down critical media, and gra… (View Post)