It's here: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html So July 1st is Clinton 44.6 Trump 39.8. Graph for this time for comparison: http… (View Post)

My reply to Stodge also applies to this - in any poll you can always find a specific subsample that seems wrong, it doesn't mean polls don't work. That said, you're comparing to the 20… (View Post)

Is this poll (or the Marist one) *supposed* to be demographically balanced by region? Generally with any poll you can look at the various subsamples and find something in it that will allow you to sa… (View Post)

Mr President Sir if you're reading this, let me just say that my counterparty is a huge liberal and when he told me he thought you would resign partway through or be indicted for crimes I said n… (View Post)

Speaking as someone with a bet on him making it all the way to the end of his term that's worth much more I intended due to cybercoin fluctuations, I can totally fucking imagine him doing that. (View Post)