Being a woman was a core part of Clinton's message ("highest, hardest glass ceiling" etc) so if Biden's getting the same score with women without that message, what that tells you… (View Post)

RCP is garbage, they leave out most of the polls. There's no point in using them for any kind of comparison, and their data shouldn't brought up in any conversation except "WTF happene… (View Post)

You certainly want to give more weight to 2016 than 1880, but if you ignore everything except 2016 then your sample size is limited to 1, and it's very hard to make useful predictions from a sam… (View Post)

I'd say more: Not only is Trump's black support generally holding up pretty well, DC seems to be seeing quite a lot of gentrification, and I guess the votes of the incoming gentry are less … (View Post)

What do you think the job of a poll aggregation website is? Do you not think it might be a problem if they stop typing in the polls??? (View Post)