edmundintokyo
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The WH2020 betting and polling continue to look good for Biden
The bright spark who thought to tell Trump he looked like the lone ranger saved thousands, maybe tens of thousands of lives. (View Post)3 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With five months to go how the US is dividing on the next Pres
One thing I'd worry about with the polling is that a lot of these polls are asking a "right track / wrong track" question first, before they do the Trump/Biden one. I think "wrong… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » In betting terms the Moran-Davey battle in the LD race looks c
Unfortunately the constituency for that in Britain is like 3 dudes and a dog named Albert (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With five months to go how the US is dividing on the next Pres
Yes, that's definitely right. I think the path for Trump is more like: - Start at 50 vs 40, gap of 10 - Flip 2.5% to 47.5 vs 42.5 gets the gap down to 5 - 3% advantage in Dunno/Other and it'… (View Post)1 -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With five months to go how the US is dividing on the next Pres
One thing that could be worth looking at that I was about to look at but then my browser crashed and I can no longer be arsed is, how does the lead vary depending on the other/don't-know proport… (View Post)1
