The British press have these kind of mental templates, there are only like a couple of dozen possible stories they ever write. I assume it's driven by the readers, they want to hear a familiar story … (View Post)

She'd be excellent value at 14/1 for next US president but that's not what the market says, it's the 2024 election winner. (View Post)

I think Harris nominee and Dem win diverge quite hard from being independent, firstly because she's not very good, and secondly because health-permitting Biden is more likely to run again if things a… (View Post)

These are the options the voters will accept. There's a simple solution which is to allow applications to be made in Calais instead of first requiring applicants to cross the Channel in a dinghy, but… (View Post)

If you imagine Britain getting invaded by Russia and you needing to escape, I think it's obvious that although being safe from the politically-posting-person purge is your first problem, you wouldn't… (View Post)