I don't think so, there was the Seltzer poll but that's just one poll in a state Biden doesn't need, the rest has been more of the same, and 538 is still showing a 90/10 race assuming … (View Post)

Park the tanks on the lawn is *sometimes* a good strategy, but the problem is that in doing that politicians often end up pretending to agree with things that aren't true and that they don'… (View Post)

Thanks, I did have a go once - for some reason it seems to be easier to write comments than to write leaders of the same length, I'm not sure why... (View Post)

That can't be the whole story, because SG, JP and SK had quite a lot of transmission inside the borders, which they managed to control. If you've failed to control transmission inside your … (View Post)

It's generally not good to ignore polls because you can find something weird in the subsamples, because you can nearly always find something weird in the subsamples. I think this is a legitimate… (View Post)