edmundintokyo
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Re: Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – politicalbetting.com
They're popular for longer than 9 months. Even when you screw them up they're popular for that long. Some nice polling data from Wikipedia on the Bay of Pigs debacle: "Only 3 percent of American… (View Post)1 -
Re: Hobson’s Choice? The Subpostmaster issue – politicalbetting.com
"The dilemma: if every convicted subpostmaster in the last 25 years applied to the Criminal Cases Review Commission (“CCRC“) to have their convictions reviewed and referred to the Court of Appea… (View Post)2 -
Re: The inevitable result of having an insurrectionist controlling the GOP? – politicalbetting.com
For comparison (different pollster but) Obama was about 12 points underwater in Aug-Oct of 2011 despite getting Osama Bin Laden just a few months earlier, then he snapped back to parity at the end of… (View Post)2 -
Re: Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com
Not obvious that this would get Trump off the hook even if it checked out. (View Post)1 -
Re: Nikki Haley moves up 12% in new WH2024 poll – politicalbetting.com
I reckon the one everyone's sleeping on is Ivanka Trump for the GOP nomination. If Trump gets disqualified (17% chance per Polymarket) and still gets the most delegates (likely) he's not going go off… (View Post)1
