And the smallest swings in safe Dem states. I think this is another way of saying the Biden is gaining Republicans, not just turning out more Dems. If the polls show he's gaining GOP votes, and … (View Post)

You may be on the wrong website (View Post)

FWIW several of the right-libertarian types in my twitters say they're voting for Kanye... (View Post)

OK, I'm going to make a prediction. Trafalgar's final polls will be closer to the herd, and will show a Trump win by about 2% in the tipping point state, so he just squeaks the Electoral Co… (View Post)

There's no new gerrymandering, the electoral maps are the same as 2016. On suppression I think you have to split this into two parts, voting and post-election litigation. On voting, I think ever… (View Post)