The unacceptability of NATO troops in Ukraine is the centre of Putin's argument for the invasion so I can't imagine him accepting that. (View Post)

That's nothing like Trump whatsoever. Saying X is out of context or misinterpreted is the way traditional politics is done. You keep one foot in the world of facts, but then you try to spin them in y… (View Post)

Compromise not always how wars end. I'm not even sure it's *usually* how wars end. Wars also end by one side losing. That's how WW2 ended (both the Germany part and the Japan part), and how the Falkl… (View Post)

The better accounts I follow are talking about weeks of attrition, they don't seem to be expecting anything spectacular in either direction. With attrition it's really hard to tell who's winning. (View Post)

It's even more kafkaesque than that because the bank doesn't wait for a directive from the Home Secretary. They have a responsibility to independently guess what the Home Secretary would do. It's the… (View Post)