The problem with that is that a lot of people don't live alone, and if they do then they still need to get food etc, so you still end up with a lot of transmission from people who intended to ha… (View Post)

Some good news from Korea, wonks reckon what people thought might be reinfection are just false positives resulting from the test finding dead virus: http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=2020042900… (View Post)

This one's tricky, in that: 1) Adding a chaos factor like this should help whoever controls the voting in swing states, and the swingiest states now have Dem governors, who can at least block po… (View Post)

On topic, the markets are wrong, Biden should be the favourite, it's probably something like 55/40/5 (the 5 being some other candidate). Maybe punters were stung by the 2016 result, where Hillar… (View Post)

That's good but he doesn't really get information out of them - eg the Swedish dude made various amazing claims that would be very consequential if true, like that half of Sweden is already… (View Post)