On the raw numbers this is right, but if you look at the various states a lot of the difference between the national lead and the swing states is coming from one pollster, Change Research for CNBC. F… (View Post)

British police are absolute geniuses, a vast international protest movement sprung up ready to stage pitched battles with police everywhere and anywhere and they somehow managed to redirect it agains… (View Post)

Japan had a slightly weird lump of excess flu deaths in Tokyo in March (there's an theory that they were trying hard not to find covid19 so they could still do the Olympics) but this was only in… (View Post)

Sorry if this has already been posted but The Economist open-sourced their 2020 model: https://github.com/TheEconomist/us-potus-model (View Post)

Tulsi Gabbard, you heard it here first (View Post)