This one's tricky, in that: 1) Adding a chaos factor like this should help whoever controls the voting in swing states, and the swingiest states now have Dem governors, who can at least block po… (View Post)

On topic, the markets are wrong, Biden should be the favourite, it's probably something like 55/40/5 (the 5 being some other candidate). Maybe punters were stung by the 2016 result, where Hillar… (View Post)

That's good but he doesn't really get information out of them - eg the Swedish dude made various amazing claims that would be very consequential if true, like that half of Sweden is already… (View Post)

Yup, she's out of the news, that's how that 1% got her mixed up with someone else. (View Post)

So I looked at this link ready to post a line about never believing anything you read in newspaper headlines but I don't really see the problem with it? They replaced "confidence" with… (View Post)