edmundintokyo
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Re: Can Johnson convince that he’ll keep the Tories in power? – politicalbetting.com
OT, a few days ago someone was asking about the candidate in the Oregon race who got a load of money dumped on them by crypto billionaire Sam Bankman-Fried. I posted what was probably not a very good… (View Post)1 -
Re: Something to ponder – politicalbetting.com
TBF he wasn't the only person who didn't realize the invasion would fail the way it did. A lot of well-informed people seem to have assumed the Ukrainian government would either collapse li… (View Post)1 -
Re: The LDs select a retired Major to fight Tiverton & Honiton – politicalbetting.com
Ukrainians who don't want to live under Russian occupation mostly move to the uninvaded parts of Ukraine. Others get forcibly transported to some random bit of Russia, and Russians moved into th… (View Post)1 -
Re: Punters think Johnson will survive the by-elections – politicalbetting.com
There's some more on it here, they have Flynn down as an Effective Altruism luminary, and SBF is an Effective Altruism enthusiast: https://www.vox.com/23066877/carrick-flynn-effective-altruism-s… (View Post)4 -
Re: Punters think Johnson will survive the by-elections – politicalbetting.com
2023 is a simple electoral calculation: If you think he's going to save your job you keep him, if you think he's going to lose it you give him the boot. This doesn't work well in mid-t… (View Post)2
