edmundintokyo
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Re: Popular mandates – politicalbetting.com
Generally I'm not a fan of "assume the system will stop Trump from doing this crazy thing he says because it's too nuts" reasoning. But on putting RFK Jr in charge of public healthcare it's… (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
It could totally be a French guy, the whole world consumes American elections vicariously as I shouldn't have to tell anyone here. Not at all saying I know who it is but I know a French guy it totall… (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
I wonder how much he's bet on this total sure thing. (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
One thing you learn from years reading pb is that the more certain the prediction, the less notice you should take of it. In this race the uncertainty is coming straight from the polls. The polls may… (View Post)8 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
I don't think these campaign briefings have a lot of information content. They're not going to say "we are so fucked lmao" (View Post)2