OK, I'm going to make a prediction. Trafalgar's final polls will be closer to the herd, and will show a Trump win by about 2% in the tipping point state, so he just squeaks the Electoral Co… (View Post)

There's no new gerrymandering, the electoral maps are the same as 2016. On suppression I think you have to split this into two parts, voting and post-election litigation. On voting, I think ever… (View Post)

A consequence if the degree of early voting this cycle is that you can be sure that any more oppo that drops between now and the election is bullshit. Anything real would already have been dropped, w… (View Post)

This is weird seems to be a subtweet of Nate Silver who saying what was posted as their crosstabs was hinky, but last night he was tweeting what seemed to be a defence of the said crosstabs, so WTF??? (View Post)

IIUC the legislature generally can't do much without the agreement of the governor, who for WI, PA and MI is a Dem. In theory WI might be an issue as their supreme court is GOP-held and prone to… (View Post)