They do have a ceiling. All parties do. But the likes of Trump, Orban, Erdogan and Le Pen all poll way beyond the 30% that might be enough to win in a FPTP system with 5-6 significant parties, unless… (View Post)
Le Pen is (joint) favourite to win in 2027, and unlike some times in the past, I don't think the odds are wrong. Indeed, I'd have her clear favourite (albeit not by much). It's not 2002 any more and … (View Post)
Emotions matter. Countries that lose wars - particularly those that started the war in question, unprovoked and for territorial gain - pay a price. That's always been the case historically and I see … (View Post)
Yeltsin was a classic chancer-politician who liked power and liked to be popular. He had no fixed ideology and brought down the USSR from within solely so that he could run Russia as a state for hims… (View Post)
No, actions have consequences. Russia might be an authoritarian regime but as best as we can tell, the majority support both the actions and the methods employed. A reckoning is necessary. The People… (View Post)