The Lib Dems losing seats is not implausible. They hit pretty much every Tory target in 2024 so are at a starting point where the road is pretty steep. Even without the Tories gaining seats back (whi… (View Post)

That's (almost) always been the case. The justification for hardline policies lies in grievance and the perceived excess power of others meaning that softer measures cannot work. (View Post)

Close to zero. Despite several periods of near-threeway ties in polling, and one other of near-fourway ties in 2019, with many polls conducted across them, there's only ever been one actual threeway … (View Post)

He was elected five months ago and sworn in less than three months ago. If he wasn't well - and he's not deteriorated that far that fast - he shouldn't have stood, or shouldn't have been elected. But… (View Post)

He is doing what he said he'd do. If the people expected Trump to act rationally then they've not been watching him the last ten years, and particularly the last four, since he lost in 2020. (View Post)