On topic, 5/2 seems reasonable. Apart from the risk of him being forced out against his will, throwing in the towel in favour of a chosen successor, or retiring on health grounds, there's also t… (View Post)

Biden's odds are nuts for someone who is still well clear in the national polls, who hasn't fallen below the high-20s all year, who still leads (if not by as much) in some early contests, b… (View Post)

I wrote spoof Red Flag lyrics for each of the four contenders in the 2015 Labour leadership contenders. The one I did for Corbyn might have been a bit complacent but it still stands fairly well. The … (View Post)

No, in absolute terms, both Labour's and Corbyn's positions are worse now than they were in 2017. However, the Tories' position is a *lot* worse than it was then. However, the chances … (View Post)

Until recently, I'd assumed that too but his standing has surely been hit within the Party by his Brexit stance and would be tarnished still further if Labour lost again. I get that for the like… (View Post)