That's a disgraceful comment and the sort of thing that once got contributors red-carded. Polling companies do not screw their reputation on what's a marginal line merely to satisfy a tempo… (View Post)

With respect to TSE, I think he's wrong on this for one simple reason: Labour is polling about 25%. The Tories do not necessarily need to win over Labour leavers in any great number (though it&#… (View Post)

It's questionable whether a government which had already been No Confidenced would have a request to prorogue agreed to. It's one thing for HM to agree to a sitting govt, where there's… (View Post)

Excellent article, Alastair. Exactly what politicalbetting is for, at its best. (View Post)

It was already a minority government; it just no longer has majority C&S support. (View Post)