david_herdson
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Re: Johnson exit date betting moves sharply to 2022 – politicalbetting.com
On topic, we absolutely should not make the mistake of assuming that Johnson would be safe if he faced, and defeated, a vote of no confidence among Tory MPs. That rule exists to prevent a noisy minor… (View Post)4 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
Which is why the 12-month rule exists: to stop a noisy minority from playing permanent disruption. Not that losing by double-figures vs close to 300 would do such a minority's cause any favours.… (View Post)2 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
I should of course have said B, as I hope is obvious from my workings! (View Post)2 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
Leaving Johnson to take his own mess is certainly an option. But his is personally tainted by all sorts of things and installing a new, clean face would at least deal with that. And, of course, it… (View Post)1 -
Re: Starmer has better than a 13.9% chance of being next PM – politicalbetting.com
Cost of living vs real incomes. I'd expect Labour to start pulling out a bigger lead as taxes bite, and inflation and interest rates rise. It won't happen overnight and it won't be a s… (View Post)1