We certainly should contemplate the possibility of one or both of the 2020 candidates not re-running for a number of reasons. However, voluntarily backing out is difficult once the primaries are well… (View Post)

Wavertree remained Conservative until the seat was abolished in 1979. It now has an even larger Labour majority. That said, it's not the past where they do things differently, it's Liverpool. (View Post)

I see no good evidenced-based reason why the Lib Dems should go out so far so fast today. Even if someone has (very naughtily) let on about postal vote returns, these are difficult to verify with any… (View Post)

Con win by less than 1,000 over Labour, with less than a third of the vote. Reform to finish fourth and hold deposit; no-one notices. (View Post)

More than "Very large majorities to overturn". Mid Beds would be the largest-ever Westminster majority overturned at a by-election*, if the Tories lose. * Though I don't know of any majorit… (View Post)