Good article. However, it's a bit reverse-lottery winner logic. It describes without explaining. Sunak is PM through circumstances mostly outside his control - though not entirely: you can't continua… (View Post)

Here you go. Historically, it's *highly* unusual for any LotO to be ahead on this question, never mind by double-digits. https://twitter.com/RedfieldWilton/status/1734259337852272909 (View Post)

For reference, that Lab+11 is a bigger lead in that one poll - and it's pretty much the *smallest* lead Labour has had in the last year - than Corbyn managed in any poll with any firm during the enti… (View Post)

I never understood the thinking there? "I'll resign, put CB in and he'll make a mess of it without a stable majority. Ha!" - slightly later - "Oh, he's called an election. I forgot he … (View Post)

On topic, I agree. Sunak won't call an election unless he thinks he can win or he thinks he's run out of road. I still reckon mid-Nov is his preferred option. A new Tory leader may call a snap electi… (View Post)