If you look at the table below (the one including DKs etc), then it's 1% - so either 1 or 2% with DKs etc stripped out. RefUK nearly second place with Leavers though - Con 40 Lab 26 RefUK 24 LD 5 (View Post)

I'm sceptical that this government has the sense of cohesion and unity for that. Although it civil servants could. (View Post)

Still ongoing - it runs until 19 December. I don't think there's a betting market (?) but worth noting that three of the four recall petitions so far were successful, with the sole exception of Ian P… (View Post)

True. However: 1. No conviction is likely until the primaries are well underway and many delegates are already in the bag. 2. Trump would reject the conviction, appeal and carry on his campaign. 3. T… (View Post)

I think there's less to Haley than meets the eye. She's been after the White House for a long time and has played quite a canny game so far. However, those decent political skills mask, IMO, a bit of… (View Post)