david_herdson
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Re: By 32% to 26% Brits think Ed Davey would be a better PM than Rishi Sunak – politicalbetting.com
I can't source it right now, and it was from about February, so it's dated, but I did see a split recently of how (then) Reform voters would vote were there not a Reform candidate. About 25% said Tor… (View Post)2 -
Re: Some very sage advice on reacting to the MRPs – politicalbetting.com
Between 80 and 160? No, not that much. There's a bigger difference between 40 and 80 than between 80 and 160 - 40 is much more vulnerable to defections, by-elections and rebellions. 80 will see a par… (View Post)1 -
Re: Some very sage advice on reacting to the MRPs – politicalbetting.com
Fair point. But Short money works well for Labour, the Tories and SNP (at the moment), and less so for anyone else. It's a winners' system. A formula based on a wider set of elections, and on votes r… (View Post)1 -
Re: Some very sage advice on reacting to the MRPs – politicalbetting.com
Nah. It's a legacy of 18th century travel and communications - or, in other words, the maximum speed of horses and sailing ships. The nature of the US civil service is a consequence of the timeline r… (View Post)3 -
Re: Carthago Delenda Est – politicalbetting.com
Late to the party so apologies for no doubt repeating comments below but the header is a deeply flawed piece of thinking. If the Conservative Party is destroyed - as it very well might be - what take… (View Post)13