david_herdson
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Re: History suggests lawyer Starmer was always going to win this election – politicalbetting.com
The Liberals formed the government(s) of 1910. Both Asquith and Lloyd George were lawyers. The period between 1916 and 1922 is complex but however you play it out, both lost to the non-lawyers Bonar … (View Post)1 -
Re: Is France about to surrender to the far right? – politicalbetting.com
Also, the Bay of Pigs episode was more akin to Putin's earlier interventions in Ukraine, using supported proxy forces to enable a veneer of deniability about it being a direct intervention. Not justi… (View Post)4 -
Re: The Starmergeddon is coming for the Tories if the MRPs are right – politicalbetting.com
It's easy enough to consult history. Until the 25th amendment, passed only in the 1960s, Vice-Presidential vacancies were quite common, either because they moved up into the top job or because they t… (View Post)2 -
Re: The Starmergeddon is coming for the Tories if the MRPs are right – politicalbetting.com
What matters is what they're saying to him privately. They'd be saying exactly what they're saying now if they meant it - but also if they were looking to provide him with a gracious way out, where h… (View Post)6 -
Re: Pondering turnout – politicalbetting.com
That was published yesterday. From Twitter interactions (not always the most reliable ore representative of pseudo-focus groups), a lot of people either haven't yet cottoned on to the scale of the im… (View Post)5