Would be funny if she resigns and it turns out the Conservatives had a great election result... (View Post)

As above, Yougov got 2014 pretty much spot on and their last poll of the campaign had 55% certain to vote. Polls always overstate certainty to vote, it doesn’t mean they’re wrong. (View Post)

Polls always overestimate certainty to vote. As long as you end up with a sample that looks like the people who will actually get off their arse and vote it shouldn’t have any affect on voteshares. (View Post)

This is an election in which we will see the most politically engaged portion of the population duke it out in a free-hit contest. It's far too early to extrapolate what will happen in future FPTP vo… (View Post)

You know I actually think CUK have done a great public service; they’ve managed to bring Leavers and Remainers together at last, in ridiculing them. (View Post)