Reform going on about Muslims voting isn’t about winning Gorton & Denton-type seats next time, it’s about scaring voters in the vast majority of seats with very few Muslim voters that there’s a b… (View Post)

Turnout was basically the same as at the general election. That doesn’t immediately suggest previous non-voters turning up. (View Post)

LibDems either do brilliantly or terribly at by-elections. G&D was clearly not fertile ground for the party. We were last at the general election with 4%. (View Post)

The polls did quite well. The two with triple-figure sample sizes got the result right. What’s maybe interesting is that they correctly predicted the Labour and Reform vote shares, but underestimated… (View Post)

Isn't the waiting the point? (View Post)