alex_
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Re: YouGov’s US election model is just out and projects a Biden landslide – politicalbetting.com
no expert but aren’t the figures on herd immunity a bit misrepresented. There’s herd immunity in a population taking no precautions. And there’s herd immunity when the most vulnerable continue to hid… (View Post)2 -
Re: YouGov’s US election model is just out and projects a Biden landslide – politicalbetting.com
What do you mean he’s “taking decisive action”? He’s not taking any action. He doesn’t have the power to. He’s certainly been encouraging people to go on “one last bender” for weeks now though. (View Post)1 -
Re: For all the talk in the past week of Biden landslide the spread betting markets have barely moved –
The basic crux of your argument seems to be “we shouldn’t have opened up, when numbers were very low (and falling). We should have waited a month or so for numbers to still be very low. Ignoring the … (View Post)2 -
Re: A year is a long time in politics. Your regular reminder that the betting markets do get it wrong. –
This is absolute nonsense. Your argument seems to be that only full national lockdown can reduce R rate below 1. Whereas any restrictions short of full national lockdown cannot. But it's not eve… (View Post)1 -
Re: Enemies within? – politicalbetting.com
How about this. First time round university students were in the middle of their (final) term (of the year). There wasn't necessarily a route for significant base infection of the population, an… (View Post)1