Alternatively, the reality is that a bit of inflation, but not out of control inflation (a point at which we are nowhere near - for much of the last century Central Banks would have killed for 3.2%) … (View Post)

The arguments being deployed to justify the “far better than expected” performance against June/July Covid models, in a way that argues for a measure of new restrictions being imposed is a thing to b… (View Post)

One thing i never get with these "models" is how they always project forward for a few months and always show variations on a rise to a peak and then a fall to low levels. And then... pande… (View Post)

Not just that but THE major contributor towards predictions of rapidly increasing case numbers is supposed to be kids in school (and perhaps students at university). But it is not at all clear that s… (View Post)

I knew cases were down, but i hadn't realised quite how much hospitalisations have fallen off a cliff in the last few days (usual issue of 'headline' UK figures being days behind...) (View Post)