I think it's not just the base. There are a few categories where it's helpful for the tories, but the one where they gain by this is tradesmen ("White Van Man"), - your stereotypi… (View Post)

A valid consideration. When I was in secondary school,the first couple of years were spent in decrepit portacabins. While bored waiting for the teacher to turn up, a staple entertainment was picking … (View Post)

Maybe the PB brains trust has already noticed this, but if Sunak resigns - or loses the next election, it could break a record that has stood since 1945: Larry the Cat might see his sixth Prime Minis… (View Post)

Not enough of the pubilc give a crap about it because the people against it have been crap at communicating the stakes. From the stories you'd just think that it's an abstract techy issue, … (View Post)

Most of the prediction markets think Biden will be the nominee: Manifold: 86% Polymarket: 75% Predictit: 71% Metaculus: 90% (View Post)